Economía

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Impacto estimado del covid 19 por ramas de actividad económica en colombia para el 2020
(Universidad Santiago de Cali, 2020) Herrera Zúñiga, Willy Nelson; Bañol Salazar, Sebastián
The objective of this work is to make an estimate of the impact that COVID 19 had in 2020 for the different branches of economic activity, according to their ISIC classification. For this purpose, a forecast was prepared by means of an Ordinary Least Squares Regression Model (OLS) that allowed a comparison between what happened and what could have happened given this scenario. For its part, it is worth mentioning that, as an inference mechanism, an intra-sample forecast was outlined with the use of time series of quarterly periodicity in periods between the years 2010 to 2020. The main results showed that the greatest loss of potential production was It occurred in the second quarter, this, caused by the measures taken to mitigate the impact of this situation, which affected in a considerable and differentiated way the commercial interactions and value chain of the main branches of economic activity, being more affected the activities of accommodation and food services and artistic and entertainment activities given the nature of its economic activity unconditionally mediated by the presence of people in its establishments.