Browsing by Author "Ruiz Morales, Ramiro Ricardo"
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Item Pronóstico de ventas de 2019 para clínica de oftalmología de la ciudad de cali(2019) Ruiz Morales, Ramiro Ricardo; Obregon Morales, JohynerBusiness decisions are made based on forecasts and the least error or uncertainty associated with them. The purpose of this preliminary project is to make the sales forecast of an Ophthalmology IPS through the use of Forecast Methods denominated in the literature as: deterministic methods (descriptive, exponential smoothing), as well as the most sophisticated models, denominated in the literature as probabilistic such as the ARIMA (Integrated Autoregressive Mobile Media Method) models with historical sales for the period (January 2011 - June 2019), and based on these results, support the Clinic in making management decisions with less uncertainty.